Monday, December 5, 2011

Leaders at Americas talks: world economy top worry (AP)

CARACAS, Venezuela ? Leaders from across Latin America and the Caribbean pledged to work together to fend off the effects of the world financial crisis and safeguard the region's growing economies.

Several presidents stressed at the start of a two-day summit Friday that they hope to ride out turbulent times by boosting their local industries and increasing trade within the region.

Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff led such calls, saying that if the nations are to keep thriving they will need to look more to their neighbors.

"The economic, financial crisis should be at the center of our concerns," Rousseff said. "We should respond to this crisis with a new paradigm."

Rousseff said Latin America should "realize that to guarantee its current cycle of development despite the international economic turbulence, it means that every politician must be aware that each one needs the others."

As a region, Latin America and the Caribbean have so far weathered the economic woes better than the U.S. or Europe, achieving economic growth of more than 5 percent last year.

Brazil is now one of the world's fastest growing economies, and its government said this week that it's willing to contribute funds to the International Monetary Fund to help minimize the effects of the European debt crisis.

Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos said the region has immense potential "in this world that's going through great uncertainty, where there's a hurricane that's hitting the so-called industrialized economies hard." He said Colombia's current trade with Brazil, for instance, is minimal and could grow significantly.

Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez read aloud a letter from Chinese President Hu Jintao congratulating the leaders on forming a new 33-nation regional bloc, the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States. Hu pledged to deepen cooperation with the new group, which he said will "contribute in a significant way to strengthening the unity and the coordination among the region's countries to face global challenges together."

The U.S. remains the top trading partner of many countries in the region, with exceptions including Brazil and Chile, where China has become the biggest trading partner. China has also made diplomatic inroads, including by granting about $38 billion in loans to Venezuela in exchange for increasing shipments of oil.

Argentine President Cristina Fernandez noted that experts believe the region could be vulnerable to fallout from the economic crisis. She said trade within the region should be a priority.

Some countries, such as Brazil, expressed interest in reducing imports from outside Latin America.

"Together we can be stronger, together we can grow, and that should be beneficial for everyone," Rousseff said.

Chavez and some of his closest allies, meanwhile, called for the new regional bloc to be a tool for both integration and for countering U.S. influence.

"Only unity will make us free," Chavez told the more than two dozen heads of state.

Cuban President Raul Castro said that if it's successful, the creation of the new bloc known by its Spanish initials CELAC will be "the biggest event in 200 years."

The group includes every country in Latin America and the Caribbean. Unlike the Washington-based Organization of American States, it will have Cuba as a full member and exclude the U.S. and Canada.

Both Chavez and Ecuadorean President Rafael Correa said they hope the bloc eventually leaves behind the OAS.

"We need a new inter-American system and, more specifically, a new system to guarantee human rights," said Correa, referring to the Washington-based Inter-American Human Rights Commission, which has received complaints from Ecuadorean newspapers and television channels that accuse his government of trying to silence critics.

"All these attacks and threats are made in the name of freedom of expression," he added, accusing powerful media outlets of manipulating public opinion. Correa called for creating of a committee to investigate such issues.

Other presidents said they see CELAC as a forum to resolve conflicts and build closer ties, but not as an alternative to existing bodies such as the OAS.

Santos said he also sees a role for the group in re-examining whether current counter-drug efforts are the right approach. Colombia remains the world's top producer of coca, which is used to produce cocaine.

While Santos has said the amount of land being used to grow coca plants has declined, the trade "keeps flowing the problem persists."

"There is still growing demand in the consuming countries," Santos said. He added that if there is eventually debate about legalizing cocaine and marijuana as a way of reducing drug-related violence, he wouldn't be opposed.

___

Associated Press writers Ian James and Christopher Toothaker contributed to this report.

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/latam/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20111203/ap_on_re_la_am_ca/lt_venezuela_summit

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'Twilight' stays bright but Hollywood snoozes (omg!)

LOS ANGELES (AP) ? The latest "Twilight" movie cast the longest shadow with $16.9 million for a third-straight No. 1 finish during one of the year's slowest weekends at the box office.

Business was dismal, with box-office tracker Hollywood.com estimating Sunday that domestic revenues totaled just $82 million. That puts it barely ahead of Hollywood's worst haul of the year, when revenues were $81.5 million over the second weekend in September.

Once studios release final numbers Monday, this past weekend could come in as the worst of the year if revenues finish even lower.

The first weekend of December often presents a lull in between big Thanksgiving holiday releases and the onslaught of year-end blockbusters that arrive a bit later. But this big a slowdown is surprising given that there's quality stuff out there among the top-10 films, particularly family fare such as "The Muppets," ''Hugo" and "Arthur Christmas."

Hollywood executives usually blame bad weekends on a weak crop of movies.

"It's tough to blame it on the product when the product is pretty good and the films are solid," said Hollywood.com analyst Paul Dergarabedian. "While the post-Thanksgiving weekend is typically slow, it's not usually this slow."

The dreary weekend comes after a relatively quiet Thanksgiving holiday at movie theaters, despite analysts' predictions of potential holiday records because of a great lineup of films.

But more fans might be thinking twice about heading out to theaters given the new entertainment options they have with Apple's iPad, Amazon's Kindle products and other gadgets, along with their big-screen home setups for movies and television.

Or it could be that Hollywood has temporarily neglected its mainstay audience of young males. Dergarabedian said there's little out there now for guys looking for thrills and laughs.

That will change in the coming weeks as Jonah Hill's comedy "The Sitter" opens Friday, followed by a rush of action tales: Tom Cruise's "Mission: Impossible ? Ghost Protocol," Robert Downey Jr.'s "Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows" and Steven Spielberg's "The Adventures of Tintin."

Women and families continue to dominate the scanty business at theaters now. Summit Entertainment's female-driven blockbuster "The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn ? Part 1" raised its domestic haul to $247.3 million.

Coming in second again was Disney's "The Muppets" with $11.2 million, lifting the family film's domestic total to $56.1 million. Despite good reviews, though, "The Muppets" audience was off more sharply than any other top-10 movie compared to Thanksgiving weekend.

Paramount's family adventure "Hugo," an acclaimed saga directed by Martin Scorsese, finished third with $7.6 million, raising its domestic take to $25.2 million.

Sony's animated holiday comedy "Arthur Christmas" was fourth with $7.4 million, pushing its total to $25.3 million.

In limited release, Fox Searchlight's sexually explicit drama "Shame" opened strongly with $361,181 at 10 theaters in six cities. "Shame" expands to six more cities Friday.

Starring Michael Fassbender in a grim portrait of a sex addict, "Shame" is the latest film angling to lure moviegoers despite an NC-17 rating that prohibits anyone younger than 17 from seeing it.

Some fans and theaters equate the NC-17 tag with pornography, but serious films with that rating occasionally break through and find an audience. Fox Searchlight is positioning "Shame" for Academy Awards attention after the film earned Fassbender the best-actor prize at the Venice Film Festival.

Estimated ticket sales for Friday through Sunday at U.S. and Canadian theaters, according to Hollywood.com. Where available, latest international numbers are also included. Final domestic figures will be released Monday.

1. "The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn ? Part 1," $16.9 million.

2. "The Muppets," $11.2 million ($1.8 million international).

3. "Hugo," $7.6 million.

4. "Arthur Christmas," $7.4 million.

5. "Happy Feet Two," $6 million.

6. "Jack and Jill," $5.5 million.

7. "The Descendants," $5.2 million.

8. "Immortals," $4.4 million.

9. "Tower Heist," $4.1 million ($4 million international).

10. "Puss in Boots," $3.1 million ($23 million international).

___

Online:

http://www.hollywood.com

http://www.rentrak.com

___

Universal and Focus are owned by NBC Universal, a unit of Comcast Corp.; Sony, Columbia, Sony Screen Gems and Sony Pictures Classics are units of Sony Corp.; Paramount is owned by Viacom Inc.; Disney, Pixar and Marvel are owned by The Walt Disney Co.; Miramax is owned by Filmyard Holdings LLC; 20th Century Fox and Fox Searchlight are owned by News Corp.; Warner Bros. and New Line are units of Time Warner Inc.; MGM is owned by a group of former creditors including Highland Capital, Anchorage Advisors and Carl Icahn; Lionsgate is owned by Lions Gate Entertainment Corp.; IFC is owned by AMC Networks Inc.; Rogue is owned by Relativity Media LLC.

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/entertainment/*http%3A//us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/external/omg_rss/rss_omg_en/news_twilight_stays_bright_hollywood_snoozes173445899/43801225/*http%3A//omg.yahoo.com/news/twilight-stays-bright-hollywood-snoozes-173445899.html

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Sunday, December 4, 2011

Michael Jackson doctor files appeals notice in LA

The doctor sentenced to four years behind bars for causing Michael Jackson's death has filed a notice that he intends to appeal the conviction.

Conrad Murray signed a one-page document that was filed in Los Angeles on Friday seeking all records and transcripts from the case. The filing does not indicate the basis on which Murray will argue to overturn his conviction or sentence.

The 58-year-old was sentenced Tuesday to four years in jail for his involuntary manslaughter conviction, but the term will be automatically cut in half.

Murray's challenge will be heard by a state appeals court in Los Angeles, assuming he files an opening brief at a later date.

Superior Court Judge Michael Pastor blasted Murray's conduct on Tuesday, calling him a disgrace to the medical profession.

Copyright 2011 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

Source: http://today.msnbc.msn.com/id/45530847/ns/today-entertainment/

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Swiss scientist prove durability of quantum network

ScienceDaily (Dec. 1, 2011) ? Scientists and engineers have proven the worth of quantum cryptography in telecommunication networks by demonstrating its long-term effectiveness in a real-time network.

Their international network, created in collaboration with ID Quantique and installed in the Geneva metropolitan area and crossing over to the site of CERN in France, ran for more than one-and-a-half years from the end of March 2009 to the beginning of January 2011.

Published Dec. 2 in the Institute of Physics and German Physical Society's New Journal of Physics, the researchers' study documents the longest ever deployment of a quantum key distribution (QKD) network and demonstrates its robustness and reliability when coupled with a real-time telecommunications network.

Cryptography -- the practice of protecting information from third parties -- has long been achieved by encrypting data with a set of complex mathematical algorithms; however, with the power of computers continuing to increase, it is becoming harder to make these algorithms watertight.

Physics has rather conveniently come up with a solution to this ever-growing problem through a process known as quantum key distribution (QKD). QKD is a process that enables two parties to share a secret key before using that key to protect data they want to send over a network.

The key that the two parties share is built up from a stream of photons -- the basic unit of light. In a theoretical scenario where Alice and Bob want to protect a piece of information with a quantum key, Alice would send a stream of photons to Bob with each one having a specific orientation, called polarisation: photons can 'spin' vertically, horizontally and diagonally.

Bob would then attempt to measure the photons coming in by randomly choosing which direction to measure them in. Sometimes he will choose the correct orientation, other times he won't. Alice and Bob would then share the measurements using classical communication methods, simply stating if Bob was right or wrong, but not mentioning the actual direction the photons were spinning in.

Alice can then discard all of Bob's wrong measurements and use the correct ones to encrypt their secret data. The beauty of QKD is that if a potential eavesdropper wanted to get hold of this key, they would actually destroy the photons when trying to measure them. As a result, they would need to send their own stream of photons on to Bob to cover their tracks, but this would introduce errors and be discarded during key distillation.

QKD is not a new phenomenon and has already been used for a number of applications: notably by ID Quantique to protect the votes in Geneva's elections and in other commercial installations where high security is needed.

For QKD to become more widespread in the commercial world, its reliability needed to be thoroughly tested as these networks run constantly all year round. Furthermore, the robustness of the network needed to be demonstrated as the systems are being taken out of safeguarded laboratories and placed into more demanding environments.

Co-author of the study Dr Damien Stucki said: "This experiment is a big step in the direction of a wider deployment of QKD in telecommunications networks. From a scientific point of view, the deployment of the quantum layer over a duration of 21 months with high reliability is very significant.

"The SwissQuantum network was very reliable, with the only interruptions coming from external problems, such as power cuts and air conditioning problems, not the QKD layer."

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The above story is reprinted from materials provided by Institute of Physics (IOP), via AlphaGalileo.

Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. For further information, please contact the source cited above.


Journal Reference:

  1. D Stucki, M Legr?, F Buntschu, B Clausen, N Felber, N Gisin, L Henzen, P Junod, G Litzistorf, P Monbaron. Long-term performance of the SwissQuantum quantum key distribution network in a field environment. New Journal of Physics, 2011; 13: 123001 DOI: 10.1088/1367-2630/13/12/123001

Note: If no author is given, the source is cited instead.

Disclaimer: Views expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect those of ScienceDaily or its staff.

Source: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/12/111201200240.htm

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Saturday, December 3, 2011

Investing Is Back: What To Expect In 2012 And Beyond | Investing ...

Greetings and Happy Festivus Week! As the holiday season and year-end approaches, I wanted to update you with my view on the current states of markets via my DeMark work and discuss the longer-term view for 2012 and beyond. Beginning in June 2009, and reinforced by the late July 2009 technical DeMark TDST level breakout, an indicator that the market's trend shifted from negative to positive, I've slowly reevaluated my approach to markets, trading and expectations for returns and correlations. Much of this was spelled out in my ?June 3, 2009 article, The Time for Bearishness Has Passed.

Since then I've updated that view three separate times in the past year. In May I warned to Stop Fighting the Last War, and made it clear that I was seeing bullish dispersion in financial markets; in June, in I'm Finished, I discussed the dangers of falling in love with a stucturally bearish and inflexible viewpoint; and more recently, in late October in The Fluidity of Change, I again outlined the reasons I am longer-term bullish.

Nothing has changed. In fact, the more I hear, read and see from market participants, the more bullish I become.

Before I discuss this bullishness more, let's look at DeMark indicators for the indices short and long-term.

SPX
Daily: We are on bar 12 of a DAILY TD Sequential 13 sell signal that requires a high above 1275.92 to record. TDST Down support is at 1151.81.
Weekly: We have a qualified TDST Down break at 1219.50, with a target down of 1144.76.
Monthly: We are on bar 6 down of a potential TD Buy Setup 9, but there is an overlapping TD Sequential 13 sell signal that could potentially record if we get a high above 1327.22 before we reach bar 9 of the Buy Setup. TDST Down support here is 1049.33.

NDX
Daily: Similar to SPX, a high above 2355.78 is necessary to complete a TD Sequential 13 sell signal. TDST Down support is at 2169.57.
Weekly: We are on bar 4 down of a potential TD 9 Buy Setup with TDST Down support at 1854.43.
Monthly: A TD Sequential 13 sell signal recorded in May. We are now more than halfway through it with TDST Down support at 1767.43. That's about 22 percent lower.

RTY:
Daily: Bar 3 up of a potential TD 9 Sell Setup, TDST Up resistance at 841.82.
Weekly: Bar 2 down of potential TD 9 Buy Setup. TDST Down support at 628.48.
Monthly: Bar 5 down of TD ( Buy Setup. TDST Down support at 602.43.

Of the three indexes, the RTY is most bullish. The SPX and NDX have near-term downside risk, but I expect in the worst case for MONTHLY TDST Down levels to hold. With the NDX TDST Down level 22 percent lower the downside risk is apparent, but I view those longer-term TDST levels as low probability.

In all my years of being involved in financial markets, this is the most bearish I have ever seen people in the aggregate. Of course, utilizing Socionomics we anticipated this would be the case years ago. We knew that social mood would drive people to be angry, to view politicians in the worst light, to view the icons of the former bull market with skepticism, envy and even hate, to embrace anti-heroes, become infatuated with zombies and horror, listen to atonal music, find compromise among groups difficult leading to labor strikes in business, government and even sports... I could go on. The point is that everything we have prepared for has arrived. It has happened. We are here.

The domestic economy is presently at risk for stagnation in 2012 and, less probable, a new leg down, while there is a non-trivial probability for an upside surprise. Real GDP year-over-year estimates for 2012 range from 1.2% to a mean of 2.2%. The mean-to-lower range is likely if Congress fails to extend the payroll tax cut and/or unemployment benefits. But given the extreme negative sentiment even a miss below the lower end estimates of 1.2% is already priced in at MONTHLY TDST Down levels mentioned above. If those measures are extended, and if the upper tier of consumers who have been less harmed by economic stagnation surprise in consumption in the present quarter, it is likely those TDST levels are not even tested. Put another way, no one would be surprised by sluggish GDP growth and no one expects an upside surprise.

One of the trending pieces of advice I've read lately is for investors to be "cautious of risk" and "to remain nimble." A large firm put out just such a note yesterday. Leaving aside the fact that brokerage firms certainly have a vested interest in keeping investors "nimble," my view over the next decade is that "nimble" investing is precisely the wrong strategy.

By 2015, we will have had about 17 years of weak equities performance; a pretty good bear market. Buried within that bear market, particularly in the next five years, will be individual stocks making bottoms that will never be seen again in our lifetimes. It is already happening brick-by-brick, stock-by-stock. The probability is that indices as a whole continue to struggle over the next few years as individual components now showing dispersion take their turns bottoming. This process will continue to disguise the origins of the next bull market.

I realize it is difficult for people to grasp their own situations to the extent where they understand that, while social mood in the aggregate is negative, time horizons compressed, risk aversion high, to understand that they should begin lengthening their time horizons, expanding their volatility bands for risk management and anticipating a two- to three-year window where they need to be aggressively accumulating stocks on exogenous shocks (Europe, Asia, energy crises, commodities booms and busts, etc).

In a sense this time period reminds me very much of 1999... inverted. People who are shorting the 3% declines in the market are mirror images of the people who were buying the up 3% momentum moves in 1999 and early 2000. It will work for a while, but the one week it doesn't will wipe out a hundred positive days. I made the decision to stop shorting stocks in March 2009 because I was just like those traders, looking for the final 3% down day. I lost 100 days of performance in a week that month. In hindsight I can see now that short selling is mostly driven by ego and hubris. There are some good short sellers out there, but it's unlikely you are one of them. And now that the cycle is changing, the successful short sellers will become fewer and fewer.

On an individual basis stocks are bottoming. Sectors are transitioning from old leadership (FIRE and Basic Materials) to new leadership (data technology, IT, eventually health care) with individual stocks within those emerging leadership sectors showing relative strength on an early basis versus peers and the broad market. Most at risk in the emerging leadership sectors are the large capitalization-weighted stocks. The least risky are small capitalization stocks that hedge funds have avoided due to high risk aversion and lack of liquidity.

The bottom line: This is not a call to say we have formed a V-bottom or reached a "buy point," although I believe that in 20 years anyone who buys just about anything here will be very glad they did, rather, it's a call to begin extending time horizons, increasing equities allocations and selling bonds. Over the next three to five years velocity in markets will continue to decrease, volume will decrease, interest will continue to wane. Eventually, probably by 2013, certainly by 2015, traders will become bored with the lack of volatility and movement and many will simply give up. The next 20 years will not be a trading environment, it will be an investing environment.

Twitter: @kevindepew

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No positions in stocks mentioned.

The information on this website solely reflects the analysis of or opinion about the performance of securities and financial markets by the writers whose articles appear on the site. The views expressed by the writers are not necessarily the views of Minyanville Media, Inc. or members of its management. Nothing contained on the website is intended to constitute a recommendation or advice addressed to an individual investor or category of investors to purchase, sell or hold any security, or to take any action with respect to the prospective movement of the securities markets or to solicit the purchase or sale of any security. Any investment decisions must be made by the reader either individually or in consultation with his or her investment professional. Minyanville writers and staff may trade or hold positions in securities that are discussed in articles appearing on the website. Writers of articles are required to disclose whether they have a position in any stock or fund discussed in an article, but are not permitted to disclose the size or direction of the position. Nothing on this website is intended to solicit business of any kind for a writer's business or fund. Minyanville management and staff as well as contributing writers will not respond to emails or other communications requesting investment advice.

Copyright 2011 Minyanville Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Source: http://www.minyanville.com/businessmarkets/articles/technical-analysis-stock-market-analysis-tdst/12/1/2011/id/38164

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Friday, December 2, 2011

PFT: Cutler unsure if he'll play this season

F. Taylor Del RioAP

Jaguars coach Jack Del Rio famously didn?t seem to have a lot to do with the Jaguars. He?d be the first person to tell you so.

Former running back Fred Taylor would be the second person.

?At the end of the day, [Del Rio]?s not a head coach,? Taylor told Eric Adelson of the PostGame.com. ?He?s a great defensive coach. But he?s not a head coach.?

Taylor said he didn?t appreciate the inconsistency, which was the opposite of the coaching he got from Tom Coughlin and Bill Belichick.

?With Jack, you never knew what you were getting. You don?t know if you?ll get a hard-ass one day, a buddy-buddy one day. You never really knew,? Taylor said.

He didn?t stop there. On Thursday, Taylor went on Pete Prisco?s radio show in Jacksonville. ?He called Del Rio a ?shady character? and said he could call the Jaguars offensive plays from his living room.

Taylor said the difference?between the Jaguars and Patriots offensive schemes was like the difference between a Shell hotdog and Ruth?s Chris steaks.

In other news, the Jaguars have decided not to invite Del Rio when the team retires Fred Taylor?s number.

Source: http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/11/30/cutler-not-sure-if-hell-play-this-season/related/

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China military criticizes U.S.-Australia defense upgrade (reuters)

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